Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.000997 0.001032 0.001068 0.001107 0.001149 0.001192 0.001240
2025-09-07 0.000933 0.000985 0.001040 0.001102 0.001169 0.001242 0.001326
2025-09-14 0.000877 0.000941 0.001008 0.001087 0.001176 0.001276 0.001395
2025-09-21 0.000831 0.000901 0.000979 0.001071 0.001178 0.001301 0.001452
2025-09-28 0.000796 0.000873 0.000958 0.001062 0.001187 0.001332 0.001517
2025-10-05 0.000752 0.000831 0.000920 0.001030 0.001163 0.001322 0.001531
2025-10-12 0.000727 0.000809 0.000904 0.001022 0.001168 0.001346 0.001585
2025-10-19 0.000709 0.000795 0.000895 0.001022 0.001182 0.001381 0.001656
2025-10-26 0.000688 0.000776 0.000880 0.001014 0.001184 0.001400 0.001704
2025-11-02 0.000674 0.000766 0.000874 0.001015 0.001198 0.001434 0.001776
2025-11-09 0.000658 0.000751 0.000862 0.001008 0.001200 0.001453 0.001826
2025-11-16 0.000640 0.000733 0.000846 0.000996 0.001196 0.001461 0.001861
2025-11-23 0.000634 0.000731 0.000850 0.001009 0.001225 0.001518 0.001973
2025-11-30 0.000624 0.000724 0.000846 0.001013 0.001241 0.001558 0.002060
2025-12-07 0.000610 0.000710 0.000834 0.001004 0.001240 0.001573 0.002111
2025-12-14 0.000595 0.000695 0.000820 0.000992 0.001234 0.001578 0.002148
2025-12-21 0.000583 0.000684 0.000810 0.000986 0.001235 0.001596 0.002203
2025-12-28 0.000563 0.000661 0.000784 0.000957 0.001203 0.001562 0.002171
2026-01-04 0.000552 0.000651 0.000775 0.000950 0.001203 0.001575 0.002219
2026-01-11 0.000545 0.000644 0.000771 0.000951 0.001213 0.001604 0.002298
2026-01-18 0.000535 0.000634 0.000762 0.000943 0.001210 0.001614 0.002342
2026-01-25 0.000529 0.000629 0.000758 0.000945 0.001221 0.001645 0.002427
2026-02-01 0.000520 0.000621 0.000750 0.000938 0.001220 0.001657 0.002477